A new survey shows 65 per cent of Victorians don’t believe the Allan government can get more housing underway in the next year.
The Victorian government has been hit with a grim election warning as almost two-thirds of voters no longer believe they can remedy the state’s housing crisis.
In a new report from independent advocacy group Amplify Australia, 65 per cent of Victorians have indicated they do not trust the state government to improve housing in the next year.
And for about 50 per cent, their confidence in the government’s ability to make the right decisions for housing is below where it was a year ago.
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It is the worst figure on record with Amplify, up considerably from 59 per cent in October last year, and the worst figure recorded in the latest survey nationwide — outside of Tasmania.
It has also revealed a whopping 80 per cent of the state is now worried about the impacts of immigration on housing availability.
Earlier this month Australian Bureau of Statistics data indicated 54,842 new homes were built around Victoria in the year to March 30 — the lowest March completion number since 2016.
The latest ABS data on population growth indicates the state’s population grew by about 117,300 people in the 2025 calendar year.
The Amplify report also identified that 49 per cent felt the Albanese government were principally to blame for the rising cost of building homes, followed by 40 per cent pointing the finger at the Allan government, followed by a third finding fault in local government and just under this share considering developers and unions to be the key problem.
Government are at the top of the list for whom Victorians blame building cost hikes.
Two-thirds also now feel the nation will not meet the 1.2 million homes goal of the National Housing Accord’s 2029 target, and 73 per cent do not feel enough will be built to meet the state’s housing needs in the next four years.
The Amplify report notes that to April this year there had been 85,159 residences built in Victoria since the National Housing Accord commenced on July 1, 2024. The state is expected to build about 315,034 of the 1.2 million total.
Further ABS data shows the average cost of a new house approved in Victoria was $526,642 as of May this year. It’s down about $10,000 from what it was in April, about on par with the same time a year ago, and up significantly from May in 2024 when it was $501,608.
Amplify chief executive Martin Codina said it was now clear the Victorian government was facing a “crisis of confidence” on the housing front.
“As we get closer to the November election in November, Victorians believe the state is moving in the wrong direction,” Mr Codina said.
“Community trust is falling, concern is rising and more Victorians are blaming the State Government for the growing housing crisis.”
Noting that Victorians wanted to see faster approvals and more homes being built, he said the survey results indicated the electorate was not convinced by policy announcements to date.
Victoria is well short of building levels needed to resolve the state’s housing crisis.
And while the majority of Victorians do support building more homes near shops and transport, a hefty 30 per cent did not — suggesting a surprising amount of antipathy to the Allan government’s key effort to address housing volume by encouraging more homes to be built in established suburbs along train and tram lines.
“This data should serve as a warning sign ahead of Victoria’s state election in November,” Mr Codina said.
“When trust declines quarter after quarter, something has to give.”
The report featured responses from 677 Victorians out of the 4010 Australians surveyed nationwide from June 11 to July 3 this year.
A little over 240 of them owned an investment property, and all were of voting age.
The Amplify responses also suggest four in 10 of the state’s voters believe the federal budget’s changes to property investor taxes have gone too far — above the national average of 36 per cent.
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