A fourth rate hike could deliver a brutal new blow to battered home buyers, but South Australians may be hit hardest on the mainland where borrowers have stretched further and faster than almost anywhere else. New Canstar analysis shows a buyer on the average full-time wage of $108,650 would be able to borrow about $11,200 less if the Reserve Bank lifts the cash rate again on Tuesday. For a typical borrower, that would take the total reduction in borrowing capacity to $47,400 this year, or about 9 per cent, based on an owner-occupier with no other debts, no dependants and minimal expenses. While Tasmania is tipped to wear the biggest hit nationally, South Australia stands out as the mainland state under the most pressure, with the lowest average mainland wage at $102,732 and borrowers already carrying sharply larger mortgages than they were just a few years ago. Source: Canstar According to ABS data, the average new owner-occupier loan in South Australia has surged from $401,000 in June 2021 to $672,000 in June 2026, a staggering 68 per cent jump. That is the biggest increase of any mainland state over the period. Western Australia was close behind, with average new loan sizes clim...
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